Projected Mets 2021 Opening Day Roster (Fangraphs)

I love to use fangraphs as one of my baseball resource tools. I highly encourage all nerds and non-nerds to check them out and support them. Here 2021 OD roster for the Mets according to fangraphs.

Starting Pitchers

RHP Jacob Degrom
RHP Carlos Carrasco
RHP Marcus Stroman
LHP David Peterson
LHP Joey Lucchesi

Bullpen

Closer- RHP Edwin Diaz
Setup- RHP Trevor May
Setup- RHP Miguel Castro
RHP Dellin Betances
RHP Jeurys Familia
RHP Robert Gsellman
RHP Jacob Barnes
LHP Aaron Loup
LHP Stephen Tarpley

Infielders (Bats)

C James McCann (R)
C Thomas Nido (R)
1B Pete Alonso (R)
2B Jeff McNeil (L)
3B JD Davis (R)
SS Lindor (S)
INF Luis Guillorme (L)
INF/OF Jonathan Villar (S)

Outfielders (Bats)

LF Dominic Smith (L)
CF Brandon Nimmo (L)
RF Michael Conforto (L)
OF Albert Almora Jr. (R)

Injured List

RHP Noah Syndergaard
RHP Seth Lugo

We are expecting the Mets to make more moves as they are actively shopping JD Davis and with Seth Lugo going down for at least 6 weeks with elbow surgery, they find themselves in need of a bullpen piece.


(Cover Photo is the http://www.fangraphs.com logo)

Merry Christmas from Metsjunkies

We at MetsJunkies want to wish everyone a Merry Christmas and a happy new year. Let’s make 2021 a great year in MetsLand!

We want to thank all of the readers, listeners and followers for all our Metsjunkies content. We hope to keep improving during 2021 and that Metsjunkies becomes a part of your daily routine.

Greetings from all MetsJunkies staff!

Photo by: Jim McIsaac/Getty images

Breaking down Former Mets Prospect Justin Dunn

Seattle Mariners top pitching prospect, right hander Justin Dunn was drafted by New York with the 19th overall pick out of Boston College in the 2016 Amateur Draft. He quickly rose through the lower minors and is beginning to make a case for the 2019/2020 rotation.

While it’s 100 percent likely Dunn won’t be considered early in the 2019 season however, with a long 162 game season full of injuries there very well may be an open slot for him down the line. We should get somewhat of look before the season starts during Spring Training.

Last season, Dunn made it up to the AA Binghamton Rumble Ponies, while he didn’t fare too well, he wasn’t exactly terrible either. He went 6-5 with a 4.22 ERA over 89.2 innings, striking out 105 batters at a 10.5 SO9 for 2018 and a 9.2 SO9 over 3 minor league seasons. It seems that the feeling within the organization is that Dunn is going to miss some baseball bats and I’m not hating the sound of that.

Binghamton manager Luis Rojas was quoted on The New York Post saying “His change-up needs to sharpen up” and that “He needs to be more consistent with his fastball at the bottom of the zone. He needs to know when to use his fastball to play up more. Once he becomes more consistent doing that, I know he’s going to keep moving up in the ladder, and he’ll be a big league pitcher one day”.

“He still needs to be finished off a little bit, but he has got all the fastball you need and it’s got life… The slider is real good, a great change up and is a real good athlete… He is heading in the right direction” said recently departed executive J.P. Ricciardi to Baseball America.

There are a few people out there that think that Dunn won’t be able to develop a third or fourth pitch and is destined to be apart of the bullpen. The righty is not unfamiliar with the bullpen either as he started his collegiate career in the pen before making the move to BC’s starting rotation during his junior year.

In my opinion, it’s a positive when you have a pitcher knowing the difference and understanding he’s a lot more valuable when a when a flame thrower is able to do both, especially with starters pitching fewer innings and relievers pitching more.

All in all, it’s kind of hard not to have a bro-crush and be excited about Dunn’s career when we keep hearing about his fastball and the life he has on it. I’m not a scout nor will I ever claim to be but my guess is that Dunn will start out the 2019 campaign in AA.

However, with the AA and AAA team not too far off from Citi Field, Dunn knows he’s going to have the Mariners Front Office monitoring his every pitch and is potentially a quick call away from suiting up in a Seattle Mariners uniform.

Source: LongBallsAndSuperKix.com

Do Megadeals Make Sense?

By David Weiss

 

There are many people wondering why this offseason has been so slow. If you look at the ESPN list of top free agents, it is clear that something is off. With just a matter of days until pitchers and catchers report, it is shocking how many top tier players are still available. To date, only 3 of the top 11 free agents have been signed. While there are several reasons for this, the big one cannot be ignored. These players are often just not worth it.

For the past two decades, player salaries have skyrocketed. In 2017 there were 123 players who earned an eight figure salary. Within this group there were 33 players who earned $20 million or more. The numbers are astronomical and until this offseason no one saw a decline coming. However, the analysts have noticed many of these megadeals simply aren’t worth it.

Phillies

The Phillies gave megadeals to Cliff Lee (2011), Ryan Howard (2012) and Cole Hamels (2013). While Lee and Hamels played well, Ryan Howard did not. These deals did not pay off as the Phillies have averaged under 70 wins in the last 5 seasons.

First, the term ‘megadeal’ needs to be defined. To keep things simple, I defined it as contract in which a player gets at least $100 million. In order to keep things uniform, I decided to use WAR as the stat to judge all players. It is a good stat that can be used for both pitchers and hitters. The results are interesting.

WAR breakdown

WAR is a sabermetric stat that gives a value to each player per season. Here is how one would typically classify a player by WAR.

Since 1999, 61 players have signed megadeals. With the exception of Masahiro Tanaka, all had prior MLB experience. The Average WAR for the walk season (last season before signing the contract) was 5.5 and 4.6 for the season before that. The average age of a player who signed a megadeal is 29 in his first season. The youngest being 23 (Mike Trout) and the oldest being 34 (Kevin Brown). Here is how each year of the contact plays out on average:

War per season

We can see that players typically have three good seasons. By the fourth they decline. By year five and on, they are usually pretty bad.

The next thing to look at is the average WAR per player per season. This measures the average season while the player is under contract:

War average

Here we see that that most players who are signed to megadeals can be classified as anywhere from average to good ballplayers over the course of their contracts. However, most are not stars. The number of players who average under 2 (20 players) is astonishingly high. More than twice as many were in this group as oppose to 5 and over (9 players). In other words, these players have a greater probability of being a borderline starter than a star.

The next question to ask is how the team does. Perhaps it is worth it so long as the team is winning. Do these players increase their teams win total? More importantly, teams that go all in financially expect to play in a World Series. How often does this happen? A further analysis of these 61 players shows that a team that has this megadeal player is on average going to win 84 games per season. In other words, this is a good team but not likely to make the postseason. If we add up all seasons in which a player had a megadeal, these 61 players have played 303 seasons. It is shocking how few have played in the World Series. 44 of these 61 players (72.1%) have not played in a World Series while under contract. True many are ongoing contracts, so this number can change, but never the less the money isn’t buying glory. Additionally, only 12 (under 20%) of players have played for the winning team in the World Series at least once during their tenure.

Yankees $75m

The 2009 Yankees were paying over $75 million to just three infielders. Along with CC Sabathia, the team had 4 megadeal players and a team payroll over $200 million. Since then, no World Series champ has ever had that high a payroll.

The conclusion front offices are making is simple. Be very careful when offering a megadeal. About half of all players who signed megadeals were average players over the course of their contracts with some being major liabilities. Guys like Mike Hampton, Barry Zito, Carl Crawford, Ryan Howard and Matt Kemp have been epic flops. A megadeal generally means that teams can expect only about three good seasons from the player. After that you are lucky to get much value. As time goes on, we will have more data and can make better judgements before demanding our team gets involved in a megadeal. As Mets fans, we have seen three such deals before the Mets inked Yoenis Cespedes. The only one that turned out to be really good was Carlos Beltran. The Santana deal was a disaster after the third season and Wright was good for two seasons before he got injured.

Beltran signing

Carlos Beltran has so far been the only Mets megadeal to pay off. With an average WAR per season just under 5, he was a true star in Queens.

We do not yet know the long term ramifications. Could it be that these long term megadeals will become a thing of the past? Perhaps teams will be willing to pay more per season but for shorter periods of time. That is what Sandy Alderson did when he gave Yoenis Cespedes a $110 million contract but only for 4 years. To date, that is the last time a player signed a contract worth over $100 million. Many expect Eric Hosmer to be the only player to get a megadeal this offseason as he is only 28 years old. Only time will tell.

(David Weiss is a lifelong Mets fan. He has lived in Israel since 2008 and runs the Facebook page ‘Jewish Mets Fans’.)

 

Mets Time Machine

By David Weiss

 

Have you ever wished that you could go back in time? There are plenty of movies that play with the concept. One such movie got me thinking. The movie Frequency combines the Mets and time travel. What if we could travel back in time and change things for the Mets? After careful thought, here are my top choices of moments I’d change.

First we need to lay out one basic ground rule. No player changes. This means:

  • No changing draft picks
  • No making or avoiding trades
  • No changing free agent signings

Each example must be a single moment that one can go back and change. So here we go:

 

Number 10: Duaner doesn’t get in the cab

Duaner

Mets setupman Duaner Sanchez lost his career with a fateful 2006 car crash.

In late July 2006, Duaner Sanchez got into a cab in Miami. It was the ride that would ruin his life. A drunk driver hit Duaner’s cab leaving him with a severely injured shoulder. Duaner would not pitch for the rest of the season and his career never recovered.

Who knows what would have happened. Maybe he would have pitched in game 7 of the NLCS instead of Heilman. Perhaps Duaner would have pitched instead of Wagner in game 2. Had the Mets won either game they would have likely won the NL pennant and been favorites in the World Series. Maybe he would have been healthy in 2007 and 2008 and the Mets wouldn’t have had late seasons collapses. We will never know.

_________________________________

Number 9: Lagares starts Game 1 of the 2015 World Series in center and Cespedes in left

Kick ball

Cespedes misplays a fly ball into an insider the park home run in the first inning of the 2015 World Series.

In the second half of 2015 the Mets had a formula for success in the outfield. Cespedes would start in Center with Conforto in left and Granderson in right. Late in the game after Conforto’s last at bat, Cespedes would move to left and Lagares would play in center. It was the best way to maximize 4 talented outfielders. In the World Series the formula seemed simple. Let Lagares start in center and Cespedes in left. Conforto would DH so that the Mets would have the best defensive outfield possible. However, Collins had other plans. For game 1, be benched Lagares. He preferred an extra lefty bat in Kelly Johnson. As a result, Cespedes was in center and Conforto in left for the first inning. One Royal batter into the game, the Mets paid the price as Escobar hit an insider the parker off a misplayed ball. Johnson only had two plate appearances in what turned out to be a tough loss.

This was not the only reason the Mets lost. Harvey couldn’t hold the lead in the sixth nor could Familia in the ninth. Escobar was called safe on Wrights E5 in the 14th (in what was a very questionable call). However, the first inning was sign of bad things to come.

_________________________________

Number 8: Timo runs it out

Timo

A disappointed Robin Ventura looks on as Timo Perez is called out at the plate.

It was game one of the Subway Series. Scoreless in the sixth, the Mets appear to catch the first break. With Timo Perez on first, Todd Zeile nearly hits a home run. The ball stays in play but the speedy Timo should cruise home with two outs. The next thing know Timo is out at the plate. After looking at the replay, we see that Timo watches the ball thinking it will clear the wall and slows down. He tries to turn on the jets but it is too late.

To make matters worse, with the Mets up 3-2 in the ninth, Timo cannot get an insurance run in from third with less than two outs. Benitez blew the save and the Mets lost in 12. The next night Roger Clemens is NOT thrown out for chucking abat at Piazza and it was clear that the World Series will not go our way.

_________________________________

Number 7: Myers pitches the ninth in game 4 of the 1988 NLCS

Scioscia

Mike Scioscia hitting one of the most traumatic home runs in Mets history

The Mets were supposed to be the team of the 80’s. They were supposed to crush the much weaker Dodger club. With a 2-1 series the Mets wanted to bury LA in game 4 by sending Gooden to the mound. It was looking good. With NY up 4-2 the clock was running out on LA in the ninth. Instead of bringing in lights out closer Randy Myers, Davey Johnson decided to leave Gooden in despite a high pitch count. Mike Scioscia only hit three homers all year and was able to take a tired Gooden yard. The Mets would never recover.

In the 80’s pitchers were still throwing complete games. Keeping your ace in made sense. However, Gooden pitched in game one and had thrown many pitches on short rest. This one hurts since the Mets took a decade to recover.

_________________________________

Number 6: Beltran and Cameron don’t crash

Beltran-Cameron

The Beltran-Cameron collision is one of the worst in MLB history.

On August 11th 2005, the Mets were only 3 games out of a wild card spot and playing well following a big win in San Diego. The game was tied in the sixth when a ball headed for right center. Cameron and Beltran are both natural centerfielders. They must have miscommunicated and the two dive head first into each other. It is a horrific scene. The batter ends up on third as the two are taken out of the game. The runner scores and the Mets lose by a run.

While Beltran made it back before the end of the month, Cameron’s season is finished. Although the Mets actually got to within 1.5 games of a playoff spot later on, they struggle in September and end up missing the postseason. Who knows what would have happened had Cameron been playing in September.

_________________________________

Number 5: Murphy fields the ball cleanly

USP MLB: WORLD SERIES-KANSAS CITY ROYALS AT NEW YO S BBO USA NY

The error that ended Murphy’s days in Queens.

After losing the first two in KC, the Mets took game 3 and were leading in game 4. Fans were pumped thanks to the two blasts from Conforto. Once again the Mets were winning late and once again disaster struck. After getting an out in the eighth, Clippard walked two in a row. Collins brought in Familia with the hopes of getting a double play. Sure enough a slow roller was hit to Murphy. Maybe a DP was possible but at least one out was needed. Instead, the ball and in rolled under his glove into right. The Royals tied the game and shortly after took the lead.

Beyond losing this game there were long term consequences. This was the last straw in Murphy’s seemingly endless mental mistakes. By the end of the series many did not want to keep. His glove was seen as a major liability. In the two years since, Murphy has turned into the ultimate Mets killer.

_________________________________

Number 4: Mets don’t fire Davey Johnson

Davey Johnson looks

Davey Johnson shortly before being fired in 1990.

Davey was the winningest manager with the Mets. For the first five seasons under his leadership the Mets won 90 or more games. With a disappointing 87 win season in 1989 the front office blamed Davey. After a slow start in 1990, he was canned. That was a very bad move. Davey had a lot left in the tank. The Mets had abysmal seasons with guys like Harrelson, Torborg and Green at the helm. On the other hand Davey thrived. In 1994 the Johnson-led Reds were in first at the strike and the next year they won the division. In his two seasons in Baltimore he took his teams to the ALCS both times. While he was a .500 manager in LA, he came back with Washington and led them to the division title in 2012. Needless to say, the Mets could have used him.

_________________________________

Number 3: George stone pitches Game 6 of the 1973 World Series and Seaver game 7.

Stone

George Stone was one of the unsung heroes of the 1973 season.

In the 1973 fall classic the Mets were up 3-2. All that was needed was one win with two to play in Oakland. However in those days, managers expected pitchers to pitch in October on short rest. Manager Yogi Berra was no exception to this rule. Going into game 6, Seaver was pitching with only 3 days rest. Considering he tossed 8 innings in the game 3 loss, a good case can be made that he could have used the extra day. After all, it was not a due-or-die game. Seaver gave up two early runs and the Mets lost. John Matlack had also thrown 8 innings in the game 4 victory and was called upon in gave 7. He got shelled for 4 runs in the third inning and the Mets lost.

Had Yogi been a bit more creative, he’d have used George Stone in game 6 and saved Seaver for game 7. Stone had only been used once by game 6 and it was to get the save in the game 2 win. He had enough rest. People forget that he pitched well for the Mets all season and held down the Big Red Machine in game 4 of the NLCS to just a single run. Had Stone pitched game 6 of the World Series, you can bet that the Mets would have won the World Series with him or Seaver on full rest.

_________________________________

Number 2: Nelson Doubleday doesn’t sell his half.

Doubleday

Nelson Doubleday in his later years as Mets owner.

In August 2002, Fred Wilpon bought out Nelson Doubleday. This made Fred the primary owner of the New York Metropolitan baseball club. Since then, it has been a roller coaster ride. In the 15 seasons with Wilpon in control, the Mets have been mediocre. They have only been over .500  six times. They won the wild card once but got eliminated in a one game playoff. Twice they took the NL East and once the NL pennant. They had two epic collapses and way too many seasons that are just a blur. Fans had to deal with a Madoff induced dark age from 2009-2014, and even now the Mets are run like a midmarket team.

There is no saying that things would have been better with Doubleday sharing control. However, we tend to associate the glory days with him. We had the revival of the 1980’s. While the early 90’s were awful, the late 90’s were a lot of fun. There is no saying what would have been but things would likely have been better.

_________________________________

Number 1: Doc and Darryl don’t party too hard

doc & darryl

Doc and Darryl- A lesson in the dangers of drugs, alcohol and crime.

This one breaks the rules. Each other case can be identified as a moment in time. This one cannot. With that said, it needs to be here.

The 1980’s were a time of intense partying. Heavy drinking and hard drugs were prevalent in baseball. The Mets were a team that played hard and partied hard. By the end of 86, it seemed that a golden age of Mets baseball was upon us. With two young studs aged 21 and 24, fans thought the good times were going to keep coming. However, things weren’t as good as they seemed.

Gooden missed the World Series victory parade due to being incredibly high following the celebration. Many suspected he may have been high during the series causing him to pitch poorly in games 2 and 5. In 1987, Doc missed the beginning of the season with a suspension. While he was able to comeback, he simply wasn’t the same pitcher again. In his first three seasons, he ERA, WHIP and winning percentage were 2.28, 1.045 and 75.3%. The plaque in Cooperstown just needed to be engraved. The next three seasons, he these numbers were 3.13, 1.197 and 67.7%. Gooden was still good but not the superstar he once was. From 90-94 these numbered declined to 3.77, 1.271 and 55.3%. Injuries, drug use and crime had ruined the career of the most gifted pitcher of the era.

Strawberry was a bit different. In fact, a look at his numbers make you think that drugs didn’t hurt his career with the Mets. It was only once he left that he underperformed. In his 8 seasons, he averaged over 30 home runs, 30 doubles and 92 RBI’s. With an OPS of .878 his numbers simply speak for themselves. There was no real point of decline. However, he has admitted numerous times to being under the influence on the field. He wasn’t always able to play his best. Perhaps Strawberry could have been hitting 50 homers. More importantly he left behind a drug culture that was the Mets clubhouse.

Who knows what could have been has these two young men had a chance to meet themselves in the future. They could have used a good talk from the 50 year old versions of themselves.  Sadly, neither knew how to manage stardom in New York. What is clear, is that their party lifestyle hurt the Mets dearly.

_________________________________

(David Weiss is a lifelong Mets fan. He has lived in Israel since 2008 and runs the Facebook page ‘Jewish Mets Fans’.)

Welcome Back Jay Bruce

By David Weiss

 

At first this move seemed strange. After dumping Jay Bruce for a no name minor leaguer in 2017, it seemed that Bruce’s tenure in Queens had ended for good. Had the Mets wanted to keep the right fielder, they could have given him a qualifying offer and either gotten him for a one year deal or at least received a high draft pick in return. True there was some speculation as to if Bruce would return, but with Conforto and Cespedes as the corner outfielders, it looed like a bad fit.

Never the less despite the obvious issues with this deal, the consensus is that this was a very good move by GM Sandy Alderson. Let’s have a look at the reasons why this move is more brilliant than people think.

walk off

Mets celebrating a Jay Bruce walk off hit. (May 30, 2017)

For starters, Bruce is a serious but undervalued power hitter. In his ten big league seasons, Bruce has hit 21 or more home runs in all but one. Last season he hit over 30 dingers for the fifth time in his career. With only 272 career doubles, there is no doubting his huge offensive resume. Defensively, Bruce is not known for tremendous range but he has a strong arm. No it is not Cespedes level strong but it is nothing to snuff at. With 91 career assists, many teams know not to risk it. Being that right field is typically a position in which a team can hide a guy with bad range, his bat and arm will make up for his glove.

In terms of finances, the Mets did not break the bank. Three years for a total of $39 million is very reasonable. Bruce will be 33 years old at the end of his contract so the Mets aren’t risking a long term nightmare situation. What is also nice is that he does not need to be the star. In fact, one can argue that when everyone is healthy Bruce is the third best outfielder. Add in Nimmo and Lagares and the Mets have some serious depth in the outfield.

MLB: Colorado Rockies at New York Mets

Bruce, Cespedes and Conforto celebrating a Mets victory.

While Bruce is expected to be one of the big contributors, he is still not the main focus of the offense. At the same time, this gives the Mets youngsters some breathing room. Smith is no longer expected to be the big left bat on opening day. Once Conforto gets back, the Mets will have one of the best power hitting outfields in the game which will take a lot of the focus off Smith and Rosario.

Lastly, Bruce brings a winning attitude to the team. He goes out and plays hard every day. He has made it to the postseason 5 times. While he is a 3 time all-star, a strong case can be made that he was jipped last season. He was fourth in the NL in homers with 23 at the break. Toss in 59 RBI’s and a slash of .266/.334/.538 and you have a player who was robbed. The one gaping hole in his resume is that he is yet to reach a World Series. Perhaps he is hungry. Last years postseason sure seemed like it.

Like any signing, there are some question marks. The elephant in the room is centerfield. Is Conforto supposed to be the everyday centerfielder for the next three years? Also what does this mean for Lagares and Nimmo? Some have speculated that Nimmo turned a corner last year and could be a big producer if he gets more playing time. With regards to Lagares, it seems that he will be a defensive replacement and get some starts against lefties. Let’s not rule out a Lagares trade either before opening day.

Juan

Will Lagares ride the bench in 2018?

Things just got better for the Mets. The Bruce signing is not a guarantee that the 2018 Mets will make the playoffs by any stretch of the imagination. However it was a good move that makes the team much more competitive.

 

(David Weiss is a lifelong Mets fan. He has lived in Israel since 2008 and runs the Facebook page ‘Jewish Mets Fans’.)

The Bizarre Return of Omar Minaya to the Mets

By: David Weiss

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has referred to the United Nations as the ‘theater of the absurd’. It is clear that he hasn’t seen the Mets front office recently. A week ago, the media criticism was endless as Fred Wilpon allegedly was ‘Irate’ that the Yankees got Giancarlo Stanton. The Mets owner seemed to forget that it is the job of fans to be irate and the owner to open his wallet. Wilpon responded by bringing back former general manager Omar Minaya in a jaw dropping move.

When the Mets decided to end the reign of Terry Collins as manager, it was decided not to fire him. Rather, they gave him a front office position. At the time, some considered the move to strange but left it alone. However, the level of awkwardness is now off the charts. The Wilpon’s decided to bring back the former GM just days after giving his replacement an extension. Only the Mets could pull this off.

Omar

Omar Minaya served as Mets GM for six seasons from 2005-2010

Let’s assume for arguments sake that Alderson and Minaya will act 100% professionally, and work to build a better future for the Mets. One cannot ignore the fact that this is an odd couple. Sandy is from the data driven sabermetric school of the Oakland A’s. Minaya is from the school of scouting eyes. In the early Moneyball era of the mid 2000’s, Minaya was not adopting the new methodology. This isn’t inherently a bad thing. It is always good to have a variety of opinions in decision making so that better conclusions are made. However, the front office should address this difference in schools of thought.

When Minaya came to the Mets, the franchise was a wreck. The 2000 NL pennant team felt like ages ago and they had just traded Kazmir in one of the worst moves in franchise history. Minaya convinced the front office to let him spend to improve the team. In his first season the Mets got Beltran and Pedro. The 2005 team had 12 more wins than the previous year. In 2006 the Mets went all in by getting Delgado, Wagner and Lo Duca. The team cruised to the playoffs but lost a game short of the World Series. The next two seasons were good but they each ended with a notorious collapse. That began a downward spiral that decimated the team.

Beltran delgado

Beltran and Delgado: Two of the best Minaya acquisitions

By 2008, the front office turned into a madhouse. The timing of the Randolph firing was ridiculous. The Tony Bernazard fiasco was painful to follow as well as Minaya’s personal attack on Adam Rubin. The big moves Minaya made from 2007 onwards just didn’t pan out. Castillo, Bay, and Putz were all busts. The handling of the Ryan Church concussion was borderline criminal negligence. The Oliver Perez contract was a case of Minaya outbidding himself for a bad pitcher. The K-Rod arrest only made things look worse. By the end of 2010, it became clear that the time had come to move on from Minaya.

Castillo Bay

Luis Castillo and Jason Bay: Two of the late-Minaya era busts

Minaya’s tenure as GM was a complex one. He clearly put together a great team on paper. The teams from 2005-2008 were strong but always seemed to underperform. While blame can be divided for this, it is generally considered to be the GM’s job to put a good team together on paper and for the manager to translate that into wins. On this basis, no one can honestly say that Minaya didn’t try. As time went on, many late round draft picks under Minaya went on to become big pieces of the 2015 and 2016 Mets. Murphy, Duda, deGrom, Goeddel, Niese, Gee and Nieuwenhuis are all examples. It is hard to tell if this was his keen eye for talent or just luck. This doesn’t include his high picks successes like Harvey and Matz. The general rule under Minaya was that his low picks tended to make more of an impact than his top picks. Go figure!

The real question is not what Minaya did in the past. The Mets need to look to the future. While Omar was a real baseball insider years ago, it is not so clear if he still is. After leaving the Mets he spent some time in the MLB players union and as a VP in the Padre organization. Neither were positions of prestige. Not much has been written on the skills he acquired in both positions and how he has improved. In fact, the problem with this move is that the Wilpon’s haven’t been forthcoming with the fans as to why they think that Minaya will improve the team in his third stint. We can only hope that this move pans out and he turns into an asset for the Mets moving forward.

(David Weiss is a lifelong Mets fan. He has lived in Israel since 2008 and runs the Facebook page ‘Jewish Mets Fans’.)

Syndergaard putting on 20 lbs of muscle could be culprit of injury

By: Rhonda Schmidt
Mets’ Ace Noah Syndergaard added 20 plus pounds of muscle before the regular 2017 Season, and the normally indestructible ace called Thor may have his lat issue due to the pitcher bulking up.

Now, I’m not a doctor, however, the reasons behind this injury spell out a coincidence that just so happens to come about after a risky attempt to gain some muscle and power.

It can be somewhat detrimental to a pitcher who goes to extremes trying to add to their already lean frame. There is somewhat a health risk for athletes who undergo this process and the risks can outweigh the benefits when it comes to bulking up.

Syndergaard was sidelined and placed on the 60 day DL but still appeared in one meaningless game upon his return. The Mets had everything to lose and nothing to gain by not preserving the pitcher’s health until the regular season of 2018. Why then manager Terry Collins decided to insert Syndergaard into a pointless game is a reason to scratch your head and wonder what he was trying to prove to fans, and why he did that we may never know. While staying in physical shape is key, adding that much muscle can be effective somewhat but the health and condition of the newly added bulk can cause red flags, especially if you over exert your body.

Injuries happen to everyone, if this 2017 New York Mets team hasn’t taught you that. While Syndergaard fell victim to a Lat issue that may or may not have happened without the added muscle, it may have played a part somewhat.

That also may fall into the job description and responsibilities of the trainers, that the players are safely training and that they understand the risks and issues that routines and workout methods may cause, and it is known that Ray Ramirez will not be welcomed back next season.

Dodgers sign Franklin Gutierrez

By Gem Tablak

While the Mets seem set, at least on paper for the time being, the Dodgers signed right handed hitting out fielder Franklin Gutierrez. 

Gutierrez spent his first 4 seasons in Cleveland before he made his way over to Seattle in 2009. His first 2 years in Seattle, he accumulated 305 games as a steady mainstay in SafeCo’s spacious center field.

Since 2010, Gutierrez hasn’t been a consistent part of the Mariner’s line up due to injuries & mediocre play. In 2014, Gutierrez went over sea’s to play & came back with a vengeance in 2015.

When he came back he had a slash of .292/.354/.620 hitting 15 homers in just 59 games. In 2016 he had a bit of a decline & came back down to earth in which seems more typical for the out fielder.

In 2016, he had a slash of .246/.329/.452 with 14 HR’s over the span of 98 games & L.A. is desperate to find decent hitters to face left handed pitching.

While Matz is a youngster that will hit his bumps in the road, as a rival of the Dodgers, I’m not exactly worried or impressed by the signing of Franklin Gutierrez for the west coast Dodgers. 

Should the Mets look into Wieters?

By Gem Tablak

Absolutely!! The team should look into all different types of alternatives to strengthen the club. Is Wieters that guy? No,  probably not. While Wieters might be a nice complimentary player, I don’t think he’s the kind of player you would stack with Cespedes in the line up.

At that point, realize he’s going to be on the north side of the age 30 & has had his fair share of injuries, not any different than the Mets current starting catcher Travis d’Arnaud. The difference is that Wieters has just made $16MM on his final year of his contract & while his AAV may not go up, it won’t go down too much, if at all but it will more than likely require a minimum of 3 to 4 years on his next one… & yes let’s keep in mind that he is a Boras guy.


While looking at these numbers, again, we must keep in mind that Wieters’ home ball park is Camden Yards, a hitters haven due to it’s smaller dimensions. So why should the team go get an older alternative that has the same issues the younger alternative has? With possibly a $10MM+ difference in salary after arbitration to put on top of that. So if the Mets want a long term solution without having to see if prospect like Nido will work out, the Mets will have to highly consider parting ways with one of the organization’s top pitchers, maybe even one of the studs on our best 5 man rotation. img_4488