Familia signs with Phillies

Well, this could end up being an addition by subtraction but I get the feeling the Mets may end up missing the righty. Jeurys Familia has signed a one year deal with the Philadelphia Phillies.

Familia’s contract is worth approximately $6M and can go as high as approximately $7M. The sinker ball pitcher is a career 32-25 pitcher with 3.28 ERA in 498.2 innings pitched.

During the 2021 campaign, Familia went 9-4 with an ERA 3.94 in 59.1 innings.

The deal comes a few hours after the Mets and Athletics struck up a trade for starting pitcher Chris Bassitt.

MetsJunkies Recap: Mets shut Reds outs

The Mets needed one thing in particular from Marcus Stroman, and it was to eat innings on Wednesday afternoon at The Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati. The right-hander did exactly that, and gave the bullpen a well-deserved rest after pitching eight innings.

The Long Island, New York native gave up just one in his outing while yielding just one walk as well. Stroman did also strike out seven and has now lowered his ERA to 2.59 after picking up his seventh victory.

Jonathan Villar popped his 10th home run of the year, a solo shot that came in the second inning. Villar finished the afternoon going 1-4 and currently owns a .230 batting average.

In the top of the third, Dom Smith lofted an opposite field grand slam to put the Mets up 5-0. The home run came off of starter Jeff Hoffman, who’s no stranger to giving up the long ball whether it be with his time with the Rockies or the Reds.

Besides hitting his 11th home run of the year, Smith also singled giving him a multi-hit game, bringing his slash line up to .257/.327.410/.737 after 300 at-bats.

Luis Guillorme pushed the game up to 7-0 when he hit a home run in the fifth inning off of reliever Tony Santillan. The home run counts as Guillorme’s 1st home run of the season, and just the 2nd of his career.

Jeurys Familia relieved Stroman in the ninth with a perfect inning that included striking out the side. Familia now has a 3.56 ERA after making his 31th appearance of the campaign.

The Mets are now at 50 wins on the year and will host the 48-44 Toronto Blue Jays on Friday evening. The Mets will have Tyler Megill on the hill as he takes on Long Island, New York product and former Met Steven Matz.

Familia Has Been A Pleasant Surprise

The Mets have gotten a lot of success out of numerous bullpen arms so far this year. Besides the late inning arms in Diaz and Castro, two other arms have done a terrific job. Jeurys Familia and Robert Gsellman have pitched well in the early season.

Jeurys Familia:

There is a lot to like in what Familia has shown. Over 4.2 innings the righty has a 1.93 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP. The WHIP is very high, but is mainly high because of bad luck.

As you can see above, Familia is allowing a lot of soft contact. His Expected Batting Average is in the 94 percentile. He isn’t missing a ton of bats, but when he allows contact, it’s without much damage.

Yes, his WHIP is high, but it’s not because of an alarming amount of walks. Familia has allowed just 2 walks in 4.2 but 6 hits is a fairly high rate in those innings.

However, as mentioned, it’s bad luck. Familia expected slash line against is .158/.199/.187. That’s top in the majors:

XBA: Top 6% of the League

XWOBA: Top 2% of the League

XSLG: Top 1% of the League

Familia his expected ERA stands at 1.46. So great signs from the 31 year old so far. In the tweet below you can read some great analytics about Familia his sinker from Mathew Brownstein.

Yes, I am aware that it’s a small samplesize, but still the early signs are pretty great. A good Familia would make this bullpen very deep. So let’s hope he keeps it going.

Photo by: Anthony DiComo on Twitter

Breaking Down: Jeurys Familia

Jeurys Familia got a lot of hate after his outing on Tuesday. Yes he allowed 2 hits and a walk, which let to 2 runs (1 Earned) in his inning of work. There is an obvious reason to keep a close eye on the righty and I get that. But yesterday’s outing was far better than his line would indicate.

Familia got ahead 0-1 before a soft 82.2 mph hit off the bat from Adam Hasely. He hit a soft grounder past the mound, which Lindor tried to field with the bare hand to get the out. It would have been a tough play because Hasely didn’t hit it hard. XBA on the batted ball: .280

Hoskins followed with a 1-2 double that he blooped over the infield. Hoskins hit the ball with a 54.6 exit velo, extremely soft hit. Familia got the ball down and in and yes Hoskins just got lucky. Familia in jeopardy while he could have gotten two outs. We can say, he made the pitches he needed too. XBA on the ball: .280

In the Hoskins at bat, Alonso made a throwing error trying to gun down Hoskins, which scores Hasely.

MLB.com

After Familia struck out McCutchen swinging on a 98 mph fastball above the zone. Hoskins got to third on defensive indifference with just one out.

Familia kept the ball away from Harper, who walked. Making it first and third with one out. For the record, Familia could have been out of it.

Realmuto, a great hitter, topped over a sinker as he grounded out to Lindor. Realmuto did hit it hard, but pounded it into the ground for an easy force out. Mets tried to get the double play, but didn’t work out. Hoskins scores. XBA: .230.

After the Mets let Realmuto go from 1st to third on defensive indifference, Familia got Gregorius to fly out softly to center to end the ball game. Gregorius hit the ball just 91.4 mph for the lazy fly out to Almora Jr. XBA: .090

The highest expected batting average on the balls in play stood at .280 which is way lower than expected on hits. The defense also didn’t play to keep Familia his era down, but to play for outs. Which is fine, but shouldn’t reflect on Familia. I thought he threw the ball really well, he threw 14 strikes out of his 23 pitches and got soft contact.

Perfect example to look at more than just the box score. I understand the frustration with him, but to me this was an encouraging outing.

Photo: SNY Twitter

MetsJunkies Game Recap: Mets pitch well but get shutout

The Mets lost to the Cardinals this afternoon, unfortunately this loss came in the form of a shutout. The starters continue to look great, but it’s pretty obvious that the position players are a tick behind, and that’s to be expected.

Pitching Lines:

Corey Oswalt: 4.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K. 6.23 ERA

Breakdown: Oswalt was effective on the hill today after having a not so good outing in his last appearance. After being DFA’d earlier in the off-season and being cut from the MLB camp just days ago, Oswalt had a bounce back day.

Jeurys Familia: IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K. 1.50 ERA

Dellin Betances : IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K. 9.00 ERA

Breakdown: Betances was much better today as the former 8th round pick pitched a scoreless sixth. He was able to strike out Carlson to lead off the inning with a back-foot knuckle-curve.

Miguel Castro: IP, 0H, 0R, BB, K. 3.00 ERA

Breakdown: We keep going on about Miguel Castro being a huge under the radar type of acquisition. His arm is obviously a lively one and he’s pretty good good at keeping the opposition swinging and missing, as we’ve seen today.

Jerry Blevins: IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 0 K. 3.86 ERA

Offensive Stars of the game:

Francisco Lindor: 1-3, BB.

Jeff McNeil: 1-4, 2B.

Breakdown: McNeil lined a double to right-center off of Carlos Martinez in the top half of the first, however he did also strike out with runners on the corners in the sixth. While McNeil is having a brutal spring, we can expect the second baseman to turn it up once the season starts.

Dom Smith: 1-2, BB.

The Mets have the day off on Thursday however will be back at it on Friday as they will host the Nationals.

Photo from YardBarker.com

MetsJunkies Mets Players of the Game: Bullpen Masters!

The Mets beat the Cardinals 5-3 in yesterday’s spring training victory. Couple of great signs in the win, that is worth mentioning.

Edwin Diaz

The Mets closer is having a great start to his spring. The dominant arm of Edwin Diaz came back in 2020 and so far he shows he is the dominant arm the Mets traded for. In his second spring outing, Diaz struck out two and got a grounder. His fastball got a ton of swing and misses, mostly in an overpowering strikeout of Molina.

Jeurys Familia

Another arm that will be very important for the Mets pen, showed himself. Familia has shown a ton of movement, plus hit 98 on his fastball multiple times. His control doesn’t even need to be league average for him to be dominant, as he is so difficult to hit with that movement. He also averaged 92.5 mph on his splitter in his dominant scoreless inning.

Miguel Castro

Another big piece of the bullpen shined in the win. Miguel Castro threw a perfect frame, getting two strikeouts on his nasty slider. Some know that I am a big Castro fan and believe he is going to make a big step forward. That FB/slider combo is absolutely filthy.

Ronny Mauricio

The young Mauricio is having an amazing Spring. The 19 year old short stop came thru in the seventh, with a big 2 out, 2 RBI, go ahead hit. Mauricio is having a .909 OPS so far this spring. He was send to minor league camp, but we might still see him get some at bats during MLB Spring Training.

No Hand? No Springer? No Problem!

There are a lot of Mets fans that are feeling bummed out because the Mets were not able to sign either of the free agents target of CF George Springer or LHP Brad Hand. Despite all of the other moves that the Mets have done this offseason to improve the team, missing out on those two guys makes the offseason feel like a failure to these fans. When the news broke out that the Nationals signed Hand to a 1 year deal worth $10.5 mil, hearts were broken and some faith was lost in the Mets organization. It was reported that the Mets did try to get Hand and their lack of ability to acquiring him is not due to the Mets failure, but that the Mets could not guarantee Brad Hand a closer role. In DC, Hand looks like clear lock for the closer role, so the decision is a no brainer for him. It is no use to cry over spilt milk, there are plenty of other options that they can explore to fill in the teams needs.

One idea that I’ve been playing around with is that the Mets can trade for CF Lorenzo Cain and LHP Josh Hader from the Brewers by trading 3B/LF JD Davis and RHP Jeurys Familia.

Cain (right handed hitter) maybe an older player, but he still has some wheels and can get those outs at CF while being a productive bat. In 2019 he ranked in the 99th percentile in Outs Above Average and 80ths in Outfielder Jump. He did so with putting up some impressive numbers with his bat for a CF. He ranked 90th in expected batting average, 68th in Hard hit percentage, 75th in K% and 71st in Sprint Speed. Not bad for a 34 year old! He also puts the ball all over the field as evident in his 2019 spray chart.

Josh Hader is a guy that I have been dreaming about the Mets adding to their roster. Maybe it’s the hair or maybe it is the fact that he’s one of the games most dominant relief pitchers. Adding him to the mix to go along with Diaz and May, and the Mets will have a meanest back-end bullpen that would dominate all of the MLB stats! By now you’re probably tired of hearing me on the Metsjunkies podcast talking about Hader, but I will just drop his 2020 Baseball Savant percentiles.

If JD played in Milwaukee, watch out NLC. He would be one mean HR hitting machine. I would expect him to take over Daniel Vogelbach starting role at 1B while serving as a depth piece for Luis Urias at 3B and LF for Yelich if necessary. In terms of contract commitment for the players involved, it is as follows:

MIL Lorenzo Cain has 2 years left and $ 35 mil left on his contract.

NYM Jeurys Familia has 1 year left and $11 mil left on his contract.

MIL Josh Hader is under team control for 3 more seasons.

NYM JD Davis is under team control for 4 more seasons.

So in a nut shell, the contract obligations would work out pretty evenly for both clubs.

The move would also allow the Mets to start Brandon Nimmo in more games at LF where he isn’t too bad defensively. If the DH does make its way to the NL (which the MLBPA and Owners are currently negotiating) this move would allow Alonso to DH, Smith at 1B, Nimmo at LF, Cain at CF, and Guillorme at 3B… which got the making for a great defensive and offensive lineup. The Brewers would likely slip Rookie of the Year winner RHP Devin Williams into the closer role with Hader gone.

(Photo by Alex Trautwig/MLB via Getty Images)

Mets need to rebuild their bullpen

By Angelina Heather Rizzo

The Mets have had a bullpen problem for years, so it makes sense it is on the list of things to fix. Here’s why the Mets should consider adding a few big names. We’ve selected one in particular.

The pitching staff can only do so much to secure a game, and then it is completely and entirely in the bullpen’s hands to keep the game safe.

The Mets have had bullpen woes for years. Currently, Edwin Diaz has done better for the Mets than in his first season in New York, with a 5.59 ERA in 2019 and a solid 1.75 ERA during the 2020 season. Still, he remains shaky at times and the Mets need a few other options to look to in order to achieve good results.

Droppin’ Gems:

It’s no secret that the Mets have had bullpen problems for quite a bit. However, they’ve also pretty much have been right on the cusp of having really good bullpens.

Seth Lugo has obviously been a vital part to the pen however now there’s been consideration for him to move to the starting rotation. However, with a career ERA of 3.45, Lugo has also struck out an impressive 384 batters over the span of 383.1 innings pitched.

While Lugo probably has a lot to offer as a third or fourth starter in the rotation, I believe he’s an elite type reliever and prefer him to come out of the bullpen. Especially with Steve Cohen taking over ownership, the Mets might be better poised to trade for or sign starters.

The Mets also need Jeurys Familia to return to his pre-2020 form and he did takes steps towards that. But with reliever Blake Treinen on the market, management might take the route of unloading Familia while signing Treinen to anchor the later innings.

During the shortened 2020 season, Treinen posted a 3.86 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in 25.2 innings pitched. While these numbers are not magical by any means, his 3.02 career ERA indicates that the right-hander indeed knows how to handle himself coming out of the bullpen.

Hello, is it me (Harrison Bader) you’re looking for?

Also read: What will it take to get Realmuto?

Photo Credit: (Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)

Mets fall to Marlins

In a meaningless Spring Training matchup against the Marlins, the Mets would end up losing to Miami at Clover Park, 6-1. However, let’s look at some positives from today’s contest.

Jeff McNeil went and did Jeff McNeil things as he had a multi-hit game, one of those hits being a home run to start off the Mets lineup in the bottom half of the first inning.

Noah Syndergaard struck out five batters in two innings while allowing just two hits.

Jeurys Familia pitched a perfect inning while striking a batter out.

Brad Brach and Paul Sewald each pitched a scoreless inning, as well. Brach gave up a hit and struck out one in his inning.

Infielder Max Moroff continues to hit during these exhibition games as the 26 year old went 1-1 after replacing Robinson Cano.