Mets 2021 Farm System Rankings According to The Athletic and Baseball America

The Rankings

Today Keith Law and Baseball America both revealed their 2021 MLB Farm system rankings but do not get too excited! According to Keith Law from the Athletic, the Mets farm system ranked 19th overall. Law also expressed that, had the Mets not traded away so many prospects (mainly Jarred Kelenic for Cano and Diaz) they may have been a top-10 farm system. Baseball America ranked the Mets farm system 23rd overall also mirroring what Law said about the Mets system being thin due to all of the previous trades in the last three seasons.

Why so low?

The Mets have a very weak farm system at the advance (AA and AAA) levels which caused them to fall back. While they do have a very talented pool of low minor players, we have not yet seen what they are capable of doing just yet. There is lot of raw talent in the low minors with high ceiling and I expect by this time next year, the Mets will be ranked much higher (12-15 range).

Notable Prospects traded from 2018 – Present

  • December 3, 2018 – RHP Justin Dunn and OF Jarred Kelenic to SEA for Cano and Diaz
  • January 5, 2019- RHP Adam Hill to MIL for Keon Broxton
  • July 28, 2019- LHP Anthony Kay and RHP Simeon Woods-Richardson to TOR for Stroman
  • December 5, 2019- LHP Blake Taylor and OF Kenedy Corona to HOU for Marisnick
  • August 2, 2020- RHP Jordan Humphreys to SF for Billy Hamilton
  • August 5, 2020- RHP Steven Villines to TEX for Ariel Jurado
  • August 31, 2020- RHP Ryder Ryan to TEX for Frazier
  • August 31, 2020- LHP Kevin Smith to BAL for Castro
  • January 7, 2020- RHP Josh Wolf and OF Isaiah Greene to CLE for Lindor and Carrasco

Mets top 10 right now (Baseball America rankings)

  1. C Francisco Alvarez ETA 2023
  2. SS Ronny Mauricio ETA 2022
  3. RHP Matt Allan ETA 2023
  4. OF Pete Crow-Armstrong ETA 2023
  5. 3B Brett Baty ETA 2022
  6. 3B Mark Vientos ETA 2022
  7. RHP JT Ginn ETA 2023
  8. LHP David Peterson in MLB
  9. RHP Junior Santos ETA 2022
  10. OF Alex Ramirez ETA 2024

(Photo by Chris Hondros/Getty Images)

Prospects Traded to Cleveland For Lindor

Mets prospects RHP Josh Wolf and OF Isaiah Greene were shipped along with Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez in a move that brought the Indians super star Shortstop Francisco “Mr. Smile” Lindor with RHP Carlos “Cookie” Carasco. What do we know about the two prospects that were traded?

JOSH WOLF– Wolf was drafted by the Mets in the 2019 draft in the 2nd round (53rd overall pick) out of St. Thomas HS in Houston TX. Other Mets drafted in the same class are 3B Brett Baty (Mets 1st round 12th overall pick), and RHP Matt Alan (3rd round, 89th overall pick). Wolf ranked 9th when he was on the Mets top 30 list. He now ranks 12th on Cleveland top 30 prospects list.

The youngster made his pro debut in 2019 with the Mets Rookie Gulf league where he pitched 8 innings, while striking out 12 and only allowing 1 walk. He gave up 4 Runs (3 were earned) on 9 hits and finished the year with a 3.38 ERA. He commands a plus fastball and curveball and definitely has some pretty good upside. Cleveland is great at developing young pitchers, so there’s definitely some potential here with Wolf. His ETA is 2023.

ISAIAH GREENE– Greene was selected with the 2nd round compensation pick they received when the Phillies signed Zack Wheeler. He was selected 69th overall out of Corona High School California. Mets also selected OF Pete Crow-Armstrong with their 1st round pick (19th overall) and RHP JT Ginn with their 2nd round pick (52nd overall). Greene ranked 10th on the Mets top 30 prospects list. He’s ranked at 16 on the Indians top 30 list.

I love Greene’s upside. He has the potential to develop into a toolsy player. He was not able to make his pro career debut last season due to the COVID-19 cancelation of minor league baseball. Its fitting that he is traded to Cleveland because he has drawn some comparisons to Michael Brantley, the former CLE Outfielder. Eta 2024

Overall, the Mets did not give up any of their top prospects and were able to aquire a superstar SS and a great quality pitcher. Cleveland acquired some young players with pretty good upside.

(Photo by AP)

He’s no Cookie Cutter

The huge news of the day in regards to the sports world would be the Mets acquiring potentially the best shortstop in the league, Francisco Lindor. However, in that same deal the team also got their mitts on Carlos “Cookie” Carrasco.

While the talk about Lindor won’t die down for quite a bit and understandably so, we have to recognize that Cookie might be an absolute steal in this transaction.

Let’s start with the Major Leaguers on their way to Cleveland. While Rosario has shown flashes of being a good ball-player, the youngster has shown to be more inconsistent than anything. Unfortunately, this entails bad pitch recognition as well as pitch selection.

They also gave up a potentially great shortstop in Andres Giménez. While he may never develop to be the type of player Lindor is, Giménez is without a doubt one of the most defensively gifted players in Major League Baseball, right now. He may never hit 25 home runs, however we’ve seen that there is sneaky pop in that bat of his.

Let’s get back to Carrasco, he legitimately is undervalued. I’m actually not sure if it’s just me or if others feel this way, but he was overshadowed on a rotation with Corey Kluber, Mike Clevinger and even current FA Trevor Bauer.

Baseball Savant

Carrasco is a five pitch righty that has a four seamer that regularly hits 94 on the gun. He also throws a Slider, a Change-up, and a Curveball to go along with his two-seamer/Sinker.

His fastball is a tick above the league average in pertains to velocity, however his movement on it towards the top of his class. When it comes to his curveball, he ranked in the 94th percentile during the 2020 campaign and has added approximately 6 inches to the drop in that pitch between 2017 and 2018.

So while he’s not blowing anyone away with his heater, the amount of movement he uses on his primary and secondary pitches has been a vital part to his success.

Since 2014, Carrasco owns a 3.41 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.23 SO/9, and a 2.3 BB/9. As Tim Healey put so well on Twitter, this includes a two month stint in which he pitched poorly, found and he had cancer, beat cancer, and even returned to pitch in September… wow.

In his career, he’s the owner of a 88-73 record and a 3.77 ERA in 242 games pitched. While he’s going into the 2021 season at 34 years young, Carrasco will prove that he’s a pitcher and not just a thrower. Slotted just behind deGrom, Carrasco will have two season in Flushing before his deal is set to expire.

Photo: Ron Schwane/Getty Images

Top 10 Mets Prospects Entering the 2021 Season

Many people would agree that Brodie did some damage to the farm by trading pieces like Anthony Kay, Simeon Woods-Richardson, and Kevin Smith to name a few. The name that sticks out the most is OF Jarred Kelenic (who appears to gain muscle mass for every Cano strikes out or Diaz blows a save) as BVW failed to make the playoffs in 2019 and embarrassingly in 2020 during the expanded playoffs. Mets fans find themselves with little to no familiarity with the players that are currently left. Have no fear! I am here to help you get to meet the farm.

The Mets have a very interesting farm system that is loaded with players under the age of 20 with a lot of upside. While there is currently no super star hype in the farm like we seen with Jared Kelenic, there are a few names with All-star potential and break out candidates. I will go over the current top 10 prospects as ranked by MLB.com and add some of my own feedback. Please note that Andres Gimenez does not appear on the MLB.com top 10 list which I strongly disagree with.

The List (according to MLB.com)

  1. Ronny Mauricio, SS, 19 y/o
  2. Francisco Alvarez, C, 18 y/o
  3. Brett Baty, 3B, 20 y/o
  4. Matt Alan, RHP, 19 y/o
  5. Pete Crow-Armstrong (PCA), OF, 19 y/o
  6. J.T. Ginn, RHP, 19 y/o
  7. Mark Vientos, 3B, 20 y/o
  8. Thomas Szapucki, LHP, 24 y/o
  9. Josh Wolf, RHP, 20 y/o
  10. Isiah Greene, OF, 19 y/o
  1. Ronny Mauricio- The switch hitting shortstop is listed at 6’4 and has shown advance feel for the game for his age. He has the ability to hit at all sides of the field but currently has a very high ground ball rate. Once his body taps into his projected frame he should elevate the balls and hit them hard enough to become a power hitting threat that can hit for average. If he is able to learn to cut down on his K rates and improve his walk to earn a respectable OBP rate, he could be an All Star at SS or 3B. ETA 2022
  2. Francisco Alvarez- The most exciting C prospect the Mets have had since acquiring Travis d’Arnaud in the RA Dickey trade to Toronto after the 2012 season. He destroyed Rookie league at the age of 17 during the 2019 season by slashing a combined .312/.407/.510 (combined Gulf coast and Appalachian League) in 182 plate appearances while walking 21 times and only striking out 37 times. Also, he projects to be an above average defender that can control the running game. We’ll have to wait and see how he continues to develop but if the Mets but he makes a compelling argument for why the Mets should NOT lock up JT Realmuto to a long term, expensive contract. ETA 2023
  3. Brett Baty- Raw power! The left hand hitting youngster is projected to move quickly through the system due to his age and ability to hit. While he is expected to be an average defender at 3B, he comes well equipped with an arm that will allow him to throw lasers across diamond. While he sported a respectable .234 batting average in 2019, scouts believe that he is an advance hitter who can hit well and lay off curve balls. I’ve read about his bat being compared to all kinds of great hitters such as Christian Yelich, Joey Votto, and MLB analyst Harold Reynolds even went as far to compare it to “Freddie Freeman but with power!” ETA 2022
  1. Matthew Alan- Before I get into the nerdy stuff, I have to mention that Alan was ranked #13 on MLB.com draft prospects in 2019 but was selected by the NYM in the 3rd round with the 89th overall selection! How? Teams know that Alan had very strong commitments to the University of Florida and that he was slotted to receive a high value bonus which deterred teams from selecting him early. The Mets decided to spend big on the first three rounds while loading up with cheap college options the rest of the draft. Some scouts feel that the 19 year old has the ceiling of an ace or no. 2 starter. His fastball can usually hit the mid 90s and top sat 97 and he throws a mean 12-6 curveball which is his bread and butter. He does not throw his change-up too often but scouts believe that he can develop that into a third plus pitch. ETA 2023
  2. Pete Crow-Armstrong- Fun fact, both of his parents are actors. His mother, Ashley Crow, has multiple appearances on television. She has appeared on Heroes, Law and Order, Turks, and Supernatural. Her biggest role came in the movie “Little Big League” (1994) where she played Jenny Heywood. PCA was selected in the first round (19th overall) in the 2020 draft. He might have been the top high school player in the 2020 draft class and has started for USA Baseball’s 18U national team two years in a row. Some scouts think that he does not project to be a power hitter, more of a hit and run kind of outfielder with solid contact and speed. He can pick up speed quickly, so is expected to be a stolen base threat and an above average defender with great instinct. There are other scouts who say that he does posses raw power and will exceed the projections. There are some holes in his swing but if he is able to tap into power and improve his swing, his stock can sore to the top of prospect lists. ETA 2023
  3. J.T. Ginn- Originally selected out of HS in the first-round (30th overall) by the Dodgers in the 2018 draft. He turned it down because he believed that they could not meet his demands. The Mets selected (and signed) Ginn in the second-round (52nd overall) of the 2020 draft. His stock sank due to a season-ending TJ surgery after his Freshman year at Mississippi State. The Mets decided to gamble on his health and took a shot at his upside, as he has two potentially plus-plus pitches in his fastball that touches 99MPH and his impressive slider. He also commands a decent changeup as well. ETA 2023
  4. Mark Vientos- Vientos had a great 2018 season in the Appy league for Kingsport where he slashed .287/.389/.489 walking 37 times and striking out 43 times in 262 plate appearance at the age of 18. However, he took a large step back in 2019 in his A league debut or the Fireflies where in 454 plate appearances, he slashed .255/.300/.411 while walking 22 times and striking out 110 times. Power is what makes Viento’s stand out. He’s been described as a fringy 3B defensively but his plus-power bat could place him in the middle of the line up at the MLB level. ETA 2022
  5. Thomas Szapucki- I have been a fan of Szapucki since the Mets drafted him in 2015. He has an above average curveball, sneaky fastball, and a decent changeup that he mixes up up and down the strike zone generating plenty of Ks. Unfortunately, he has had issues staying healthy. He has never logged more than 70 IP in his minor league career. It is hard to envision him sticking into a rotation, but he has the tools to be a threat out of the bullpen. For more info on Szapucki, please see here ETA 2021
  6. Josh Wolf- Another great arm added by the Mets during the 2019 draft with strong college commitment. He was drafted in the 2nd round (53 overall). Stop me if you heard this one before, he possess two plus pitches in his fastball and curveball and also throws a decent changeup that has some back end movement. In 8 innings pitched, Wolf has generated a 12 K and only has allowed 1 BB. He is going to definitely be a prospect that I would keep an eye on entering the 2021 season. ETA 2023
  7. Isaiah Greene- The Mets gained the 2020 69th overall pick (2nd round compensation pick) after Zack Wheeler decline the qualifying offer and signed with the Phillies. With that pick the Mets selected Greene who has been compared to Garret Anderson and Michael Brantley because of his smooth lefthanded swing that generates hard contact. He is a plus runner who is projected to hit around .300 while developing power with his frame. He can develop into a 5 tool player if he can improve his arm and instincts at CF, but scouts have him eventually moving to corner OF. I am very excited to see what he can do and hope that he can fill the void left in my heart after the Mets traded Jarred Kelenic. ETA 2024

Photo: CBS Sports

Josh Wolf made his debut this morning

Second round draft pick and Bellaire, Texas native Josh Wolf made his debut with the Mets organization in the Gulf Coast League.

The 18-year old right handed pitcher went 1 inning, giving up a hit while striking out two batters. Yes, yes, I know it’s just a single game however, it’s a good start to his professional career.

Wolf is a three-pitch pitcher that throws an above average fastball and curveball, his change-up could use work however that’s to be expected at his age and level. I’m sure the Mets would like to see Wolf as a late-inning reliever in the long scheme of things.