Mets Junkies Projections: Mad Max

Next up is the Mets new #2 in the rotation Max Scherzer. The 37 year old future Hall of Famer will play his debut season as a Met. Will Max be part of the CY Young conversation again this year?

Rotochamp

Corné:

Most major projections sites have Scherzer at least a run higher in ERA in comparison to last year. Although I believe Max won’t pitch to a sub 2.50 ERA, I do believe he will be close to 3. Maybe even under the magic 3 mark?

Since 2015 Max didn’t have a full season with a ERA above 3, so I believe he will stay under that magic 3 in ERA. The only season since 2015 he had an ERA above 3 was the short season 2020.

The homerun ball could be an issue but Max doesn’t allow a lot of hits and walks, so it won’t hurt him as much. That will likely keep up as Scherzer hasn’t showed any signs of slowing down.

14-6, 2.89ERA, 1.01WHIP, 240K, 36BB, 5.6bWAR

Gem:

Scherzer knows the division and even if he didn’t, his talent level still trumps most. The 8x All-Star and 3x Cy Young has moved into a different stratosphere since his days with the Arizona Diamondbacks.

I expect the grizzled veteran to hit the hill just about every time out. There are few competitors out there like Max Scherzer, the man is a warrior living in the wrong century.

195IP, 17-4, 3.05 ERA, 1.03WHIP, 237K.

Next up we will do our star short stop. Will he have a better year that his first in NY?

Photo Credit: SNY

DeGromination! Mets Prediction Review 4/23/21

PREDICTIONS

Final Score

Nationals 1 Mets 4

Mets Player of the Game

Jacob deGrom

Nationals Player of the Game

Yan Gomes

(Starlin Castro)

Mets First Hit of the Game

Michael Conforto

Nationals First Hit of the Game

Starlin Castro

How I Get Graded

Every prediction I make is worth 1 point. At the end of the day, there are 12 points up for grabs in 2021.

1 point for picking winner

1 point for picking Mets score correctly

1 point for picking opponents score correctly

1 point if the score of the game is correct, but winner is wrong

1 point for Mets player of the game

1 point for opponent’s player of the game

3 points for picking who gets the first hit for both teams (Doesn’t count against me if it’s wrong. This is because it is really difficult to predict this stat, so it is like a bonus stat.)

Total Points: 9

2021 Prediction Record: 45/86 (.523)

Mets Pregame Predictions and Preview: Marlins vs Mets 4/11/21

Hopefully this one doesn’t get rained out today, so here’s the predictions!

Lineups

Marlins

  1. Corey Dickerson LF
  2. Starling Marte CF
  3. Jesús Aguilar 1B
  4. Brian Anderson 1B
  5. Adam Duvall 3B
  6. Jazz Chisolm 2B
  7. Miguel Rojas SS
  8. Chad Wallach C
  9. John Curtiss P

Mets

  1. Brandon Nimmo CF
  2. Francisco Lindor SS
  3. Dom Smith LF
  4. Pete Alonso 1B
  5. Jeff McNeil 2B
  6. Michael Conforto RF
  7. Luis Guillorme 3B
  8. Tomás Nido C
  9. Marcus Stroman P

Predictions

Final Score

Marlins 4 Mets 1

Mets Player of the Game

Dom Smith

Marlins Player of the Game

Corey Dickerson

Mets First Hit of the Game

Francisco Lindor

Marlins First Hit of the Game

Corey Dickerson

How I Get Graded

Every prediction I make is worth 1 point. At the end of the day, there are 12 points up for grabs in 2021.

1 point for picking winner

1 point for picking Mets score correctly

1 point for picking opponents score correctly

1 point if the score of the game is correct, but winner is wrong

1 point for Mets player of the game

1 point for opponent’s player of the game

3 points for picking who gets the first hit for both teams (Doesn’t count against me if it’s wrong. This is because it is really difficult to predict this stat, so it is like a bonus stat.)

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

Mets Postgame Prediction Recap: Marlins vs Mets 4/10/21

Final score: Marlins 3 Mets 0

Predictions

Final Score

Marlins 2 Mets 4

Mets Player of the Game

Jacob deGrom (Learned my lesson to never not put deGrom as POTG)

Marlins Player of the Game

Jesus Aguilar

(Trevor Rogers)

Mets First Hit of the Game

Dom Smith

(Brandon Nimmo)

Marlins First Hit of the Game

Jesus Aguilar

(Jazz Chisolm)

How I Get Graded

Every prediction I make is worth 1 point. At the end of the day, there are 12 points up for grabs in 2021.

1 point for picking winner

1 point for picking Mets score correctly

1 point for picking opponents score correctly

1 point if the score of the game is correct, but winner is wrong

1 point for Mets player of the game

1 point for opponent’s player of the game

3 points for picking who gets the first hit for both teams (Doesn’t count against me if it’s wrong. This is because it is really difficult to predict this stat, so it is like a bonus stat.)

Total Points: 1

2021 Prediction Record: 14-30 (.467)

Mets Pregame Predictions and Preview: Mets vs Marlins 4/10/21

After an off day, and a controversial call to end a game, the Mets are back! Let’s get predicting.

Trevor Rogers (MIA) vs Jacob deGrom (NYM)

1:10 PM EST Citi Field

Lineups

Marlins

  1. Corey Dickerson LF
  2. Starling Marte CF
  3. Jesús Aguilar 1B
  4. Garrett Cooper RF
  5. Brian Anderson 3B
  6. Jazz Chisolm 2B
  7. Miguel Rojas SS
  8. Chad Wallach C
  9. Trevor Rogers P

Mets

  1. Brandon Nimmo CF
  2. Francisco Lindor SS
  3. Michael Conforto RF
  4. Pete Alonso 1B
  5. Dominic Smith LF
  6. James McCann C
  7. Jeff McNeil 2B
  8. Jonathan Villar 3B
  9. Jacob deGrom P

Final Score

Marlins 2 Mets 4

Mets Player of the Game

Jacob deGrom (Learned my lesson to never not put deGrom as POTG)

Marlins Player of the Game

Jesus Aguilar

Mets First Hit of the Game

Dom Smith

Marlins First Hit of the Game

Jesus Aguilar

How I Get Graded

Every prediction I make is worth 1 point. At the end of the day, there are 12 points up for grabs in 2021.

1 point for picking winner

1 point for picking Mets score correctly

1 point for picking opponents score correctly

1 point if the score of the game is correct, but winner is wrong

1 point for Mets player of the game

1 point for opponent’s player of the game

3 points for picking who gets the first hit for both teams (Doesn’t count against me if it’s wrong. This is because it is really difficult to predict this stat, so it is like a bonus stat.)

New York Post Charles Wenzelberg

Mets Pregame Predictions and Preview: Mets vs Marlins 4/8/21

Last Game Highlights

1:10 PM EST Citi Field

Nick Neidert (MIA) vs Taijuan Walker (NYM)

Miami Marlins

  1. Corey Dickerson LF
  2. Miguel Rojas SS
  3. Starling Marte CF
  4. Jesus Aguilar 1B
  5. Brian Anderson 3B
  6. Adam Duvall RF
  7. Jazz Chisolm 2B
  8. Chad Wallach C
  9. Nick Neidert P

New York Mets

  1. Brandon Nimmo CF
  2. Francisco Lindor SS
  3. Michael Conforto RF
  4. Pete Alonso 1B
  5. Dom Smith LF
  6. Jonathan Villar 3B
  7. Jeff McNeil 2B
  8. James McCann C
  9. Taijuan Walker

Predictions

Final Score

Marlins 4 Mets 7

Mets Player of the Game

Francisco Lindor

Marlins Player of the Game

Corey Dickerson

Mets First Hit of the Game

Francisco Lindor

Marlins First Hit of the Game

Miguel Rojas

How I Get Graded

Every prediction I make is worth 1 point. At the end of the day, there are 12 points up for grabs in 2021.

1 point for picking winner

1 point for picking Mets score correctly

1 point for picking opponents score correctly

1 point if the score of the game is correct, but winner is wrong

1 point for Mets player of the game

1 point for opponent’s player of the game

3 points for picking who gets the first hit for both teams (Doesn’t count against me if it’s wrong. This is because it is really difficult to predict this stat, so it is like a bonus stat.)

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Garaffa’s Gameday Predictions: Opening Day 4/5/21

For every game the Mets play, I will be doing predictions right here on MetsJunkies.com!

Final Score

Mets 6 Phillies 1

Mets Player of the Game

Francisco Lindor

Phillies Player of the Game

Bryce Harper

How I Get Graded

Every prediction I make is worth 1 point. At the end of the day, there are 6 points up for grabs in 2021.

1 point for picking winner

1 point for picking Mets score correctly

1 point for picking opponents score correctly

1 point if the score of the game is correct, but winner is wrong

1 point for Mets player of the game

1 point for opponent’s player of the game

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Long Term Lindor: The Mets Season Prediction(s)

Well, It certainly has been a long time since I wrote an article. I hope you’re all ready for an in depth analysis of the Mets season. No, I’m not going to get into the nitty-gritty of everything, but I will give you where the Mets will place in the Division as well as why I feel they will be where they’ll land and if they’ll make the playoffs or not. Before you ask….No, I will not go into individual player stats. It’s too tedious.

First, Let’s tackle the Mets recent signing shall we?

As of late March 31st, The Mets signed the Elite shortstop Francisco Lindor to a 10 year 341 Million Dollar extension which includes some deferred payments, a Limited 15 team no Trade clause from 2022 till 2025 and a Full no trade clause starting in 2026 till 2031. This deal was key for the Mets and especially for the Mets new Billionaire owner Steve Cohen. Lindor was a key acquisition in the off-season for the Mets as well as Carlos Carassco, who is currently on the Injured List due to a Torn hamstring. Lindor being locked up for 10 years (11 technically) shows how the Mets are committed long term to success and not mediocrity. The Mets look to compete for years to come and not just “Tread water” like they have for the past several years. This signing of Lindor set the market for other shortstops who are free agents this upcoming off-season such as Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Trevor Story, Javier Baez and others. A Market for a Shortstop the Mets won’t have to worry about for a Long time.

On to the Prediction.

Where will the Mets place? Will they win the Division? Will they be bottom feeders? Will they be treading water? Will they be average at best?

My prediction for the Mets will be:

The Mets will finish in 2nd place of the National League East Division with around 86-92 wins with a Wild Card playoff spot. I find it very hard to believe that the Mets will topple the Braves for the 1st place spot in the division with the Braves being stacked. That’s no insult to the Mets, I just can’t envision a scenario where the Mets take the division against a Healthy Braves team. The only way I see the Mets taking the Division is if the Braves are overcome by a Bevy of injuries and the Mets go on an absolute torrent down the stretch from the word “Go”.

With that being said, The Mets will have their hands full with a very competitive National League East Division in the form of not only the Braves, but the Nationals (COVID Riddled right now) and the Phillies. I don’t think the Marlins will be as good as they were in the 60 game 2020 season, but I think they’ll make it difficult for other teams, a Pesky team is what I think the Marlins will be. A Team that won’t make the playoffs, but will be a thorn in your side.

I can definitely see a 4 way race to the Division with the Braves winning it overall, but I see more of a 3 way Race in the National League East for the second Wild Card spot for the National League between the Mets, Nationals and Phillies. Ultimately, I feel the Phillies will wet the bed during the final stretch and it’ll be the Mets and Nationals going neck and neck with the Mets pulling in front with the Last few games. I can’t see any teams from the National League Central Division or even the National League Western Division. The West will bring the Padres in the First Wild Card spot with the Dodgers in the driver’s seat for the division. As for the Central, I think it goes to the Cardinals, although I wouldn’t be surprised at all Cubs somehow pull away with the Division title.

Back to the Mets.

I know some people saw the Prediction based on whatever website it was saying the Mets would take away the East division with the Braves landing in fourth place. I don’t know who made that prediction nor do I want to know what they either Smoked, drank, snorted or gear cranked to make that prediction. I can tell you that The Mets don’t have a division winning roster at least in the Eastern Division. If they were in the American League West Division, American League Central Division, National League Central Divison or even a Braves-less National League East Division, I can see them Winning the division. This Braves team is just too good in my opinion.

Could the Mets win the Division? Absolutely! In 162 games, there’s always a chance (Unless you’re the Pittsburgh Pirates, Then you have no chance at winning more than 40 games or even 30 games for that matter). In all honesty, The Mets have a chance to win the Division, but I doubt they win it. But then again, in a 162 game season, anything can happen.

For now, I stand with my prediction and if anything drastically changes, You’ll see another long, well thought out article from me!

Enjoy Opening Day on Saturday (Hopefully and unfortunately) my Mets brothers and sisters! LETS GO METS!!!

Mets 2021 Award Predictions

Gem and I spoke recently on the podcast about award predictions for 2021. You can hear our full discussion here-

If you want to hear my in depth explanations for these picks, you can hear them on the podcast.

MVP

Francisco Lindor– This one was difficult for me to choose. It is obvious that Jacob deGrom is going to be the MVP, but I wanted to choose a hitter. I think Lindor is going to have a great 2021 with the Mets, as the end of Spring Training entails.

Cy Young

Jacob deGrom- I mean, there really is no question on this one.

Rookie of the Year

Drew Ferguson- Drew Ferguson is a name that probably won’t come to mind to most people when thinking of Rookie of the Year for the Mets. Ferguson hit incredibly well in Spring Training in 2021, and is 28 years old. His chance at a Major League career is shrinking by the year, so it may provide an opportunity for him to get a chance. 2021 is a rare year where there are no players that will be rookies entering the season for the Mets, so it would have to be a mid-season call up.

Batting Title

Brandon Nimmo- In my stat predictions for the lineup for 2021, which you can also read here- (https://metsjunkiescom.wordpress.com/2021/03/30/stat-predictions-mets-lineup/) I gave predictions for every hitter’s stats. I pegged Brandon Nimmo with a .316 batting average in 2021, which was the highest on the team. I don’t really see anyone on the Mets making a bid at the National League batting title, but it is possible if Nimmo takes off.

Home Run King

Pete Alonso- Similarly to Cy Young, this one really is a no-brainer. Obviously, it is possible that Lindor or Conforto could surpass him, but that would require a lot of variables to fall into place.

As is the case with all predictions, these are complete crapshoots. We will see how they play out, and if any of them turn out to be correct.

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Stat Predictions: Mets Rotation

The Mets rotation this year is going to be an interesting one. Four of the five Mets starters are slated to be there for the entire season, with Carlos Carrasco being the only question mark.

Mets Rotation

  1. Jacob deGrom
  2. Marcus Stroman
  3. Carlos Carrasco (When he returns)
  4. David Peterson
  5. Taijuan Walker
  6. Joey Lucchesi (Until Carrasco returns)

Jacob deGrom 20-6 2.33 ERA 288 K’s 0.951 WHIP

Marcus Stroman 14-12 3.49 ERA 225 K’s 1.199 WHIP

Carlos Carrasco 10-8 3.52 ERA 174 K’S 1.201 WHIP

David Peterson 13-8 3.22 ERA 194 K’s 1.155 WHIP

Taijuan Walker 12-11 3.68 ERA 190 K’s 1.245 WHIP

Joey Lucchesi 2-3 5.33 ERA 67 K’s 1.422 WHIP

The Mets rotation looks good. I think getting Carrasco back will help a lot, and will add to an already good rotation. Predicting pitcher stats is probably the most difficult thing to do, so take these with a grain of salt. That is another reason as to why I am not going to do reliever predictions, because those are even more challenging.

Mary Holt-USA TODAY Sports